Trade beliefs like coins.
GuessWorks is a decentralised prediction-markets exchange. Every market matures into a liquid DEX with multiple outcome tokens — priced by a bonding curve, traded 24/7.
From belief to liquidity
Three phases. One seamless experience.
Polymarket feed
Question + initial odds
Pre-maturity mirror
Odds tracked 1:1
Maturity event
Liquidity bootstrapped
Bonding-curve DEX
Outcome tokens trade 24/7
“Polymarket gives us the questions. Pump.fun-style mechanics give us the loop. Axiom-style discovery gives us the surface.”
A trading terminal, not a betting slip.
Four surfaces, designed to feel like the trading terminals serious users already know.
Live feed
Customisable columns: Latest, About to mature, Just matured, About to close, Closed. Per-column filters for category, volume, holders, top-odds range, 24h trend. Rows pulse as updates stream in.
TradingView-grade charts
Candlesticks plus area and line modes, five timeframes (15m / 1H / 4H / 1D / 1W), OHLC readout, color-coded volume bars and crosshair tooltips.
Sidebar signals
Trending, Volume Surge, Top Gainers, Top Losers — each blinking and live-updating, linking straight to the market. Surge is computed against a rolling 7-day average.
Portfolio & leaderboard
Position-level PnL, holders count, and a global leaderboard scoped to live trading (post-maturity activity only).
How GuessWorks compares
Question quality of Polymarket. Trading loop of token launchpads. Discovery UX of the best on-chain terminals.
| Order-book PMs | Parimutuel | Generic AMM | GuessWorks | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/7 liquidity | Partial | |||
| Instant exit at fair price | ||||
| Canonical resolution data | Yes (Polymarket) | |||
| Coin-style trading UX | ||||
| Long-tail question coverage | Weak | Weak | Strong | |
| Capital efficiency for traders | Low | Very low | High | High |
Roadmap
From mirrored Polymarket data to mainnet liquidity.
- Marketing site
- Live Polymarket ingestion
- Bonding-curve DEX simulation
- Real wallet connect (EVM + Solana)
- Live Polymarket ingestion
- Wallet auth
- On-chain bonding curve on testnet
- Real outcome tokens
- Alpha cohort
- Mainnet launch
- Fee model
- Creator-listed markets
- Public leaderboard with on-chain PnL
- Mobile app
- Social feeds & copy-trading
- Points / season program
- Market-maker incentives
FAQ
The questions we hear most.
Ready to trade beliefs?
Live Polymarket markets. Real bonding-curve trading at maturity. Connect a wallet to trade.